Why Real Estate Investors Have Their Own Investment Criteria

January 8th, 2009

Writing down your real estate investment criteria means writing down your needs and wants in a real estate deal. It means outlining what you are looking for in a real estate opportunity. Having written criteria can help you grow as an investor and can make it easier for you to land the best real estate deals.

If you to join the ranks of real estate investors, you might want to have formal written investment criteria set out for yourself. Putting your investment criteria in writing allows you to see at once whether possible investment opportunities do or do not fit your future plans. This allows you to quickly sort through potential opportunities to pinpoint the right ones.

Writing down your investment criteria also hones your focus and ensures that you have an easier time finding the best possible deals. Having written criteria also allows you to share your criteria with other real estate investors, so that you can learn from them. If you haven’t yet outlined exactly what your criteria are for selecting an investment property, now’s the time to put pen to paper.
When developing your written criteria, consider when you do not want to make an investment. What is the bottom line? Do you not want to make an investment at any time if you don’t understand it? Do you want to never make investments that you cannot pay for if everything goes wrong? Do you never want to make an investment where you cannot handle the worst-case scenario? Determine your comfort boundaries and the level of risk you are willing to accept or not accept, and put this in writing.

Next, when developing your written investment criteria, consider what your ideal investment would be like. What do you do to make sure that your investments are the best possible deals for you? Do you do a certain amount of research using specific sources? If so, write this down. Outline on paper the best real estate deal you ever put together. What were the steps you to that in to be an outstanding investor in that situation? What if you applied the same steps to every real estate deal you made? Would you generate more success from other opportunities? If so, outline exactly what you do when you are at your investment best, and add this to your written criteria. This will help ensure that every deal will at least have the opportunity of becoming as successful as your best deal ever.

Write down your money criteria. Where are you willing to go for financing? How much capital are you willing to put at risk? How comfortable do you feel taking risks with your money? What levels of risk are you willing to take? How are you going to secure your deals? Knowing how you will handle money is very important to you as an investor.

Finally, and maybe most importantly, outline the standards by which you wish to live as an investor. What are the ethical boundaries you’re not willing to cross? What you want to stand for as an investor and what sort of person do you want to be as an investor? This may seem abstract and very much up in the air, but it will help you outline exactly the sort of investment opportunities you want to capitalize on. The best real estate investors have a code of conduct, so you should, too.

Homebuyers: The Pros and Cons of Pre-Foreclosure Sales

January 7th, 2009

Are you looking to buy a new home?  If so and if you are on a limited budget, you may use the internet to research foreclosures.  The sale of foreclosed properties is on the rise, due to their affordable prices.  Somewhere in the mix, you may find homes for sale that are in the pre-foreclosure stages.  As you can likely gather from the name, these are properties that are headed for foreclosure, but not yet there.

As stated above, some pre-foreclosure properties are listed available for sale online.  These may appear on foreclosure listing websites, but not always.  There are two main ways in which pre-foreclosures are sold.  A real estate agent is used or the current homeowners list the home as for sale by owner.  As for who you should do business with, it depends on your own personal preference.

One of the many pros or plus sides to buying a pre-foreclosure that is listed through a real estate agent is communication.  That real estate agent is whom you will have direct communication with.  This may give you comfort and peace of mind.  It is no secret that homeowners facing foreclosure are angry and upset.  You can discuss the property and talk freely with the real estate agent in charge of the sale, but without having to worry about angering or offending them.

The biggest con or downside to buying a pre-closure through a real estate agent is the selling price.  Real estate agents take a percentage of each sale.  To ensure they get a decent paycheck, the price of the home increases.  While pre-foreclosure homes, even in these types of cases, are still cheap, you may get a better deal when buying directly from the homeowner.

Speaking of buying directly from the homeowner, there are a number of benefits to doing so.  One of those benefits is the deal that you may be able to walk away with.  At the last minute, some homeowners will do just about anything to sell their homes before foreclosure starts.  Selling a home allows a homeowner to keep their credit in good standing. This means that you may be able to negotiate a better deal.  All that really matters is that the mortgage lender gets their agreed upon share.

As it was previously stated, many homeowners are dealing with a wide array of emotions when faced with foreclosure.  You may see this in the form of uncertainty.  A homeowner may want to try and put-off the buying process as long as possible.  Deep down, all homeowners wish for a last minute reprieve that will allow them to keep their properties.  If you want to buy the property, make your intentions known, but do not be too pushy.

In addition to buying a for sale by owner pre-foreclosure, you may want to do a little bit of research.  There are millions of homeowners facing foreclosure.  Some of those homeowners do not know all of their options.  You can approach a homeowner yourself and inquire about buying their home.  You can research foreclosure records online or in local government offices.  To get started, it is recommended that you send correspondence through the mail.  This is considered less rude and invasive.  If you hear back, good.  If not, you may want to try again in another month.

Why Buy an REO?

December 29th, 2008

An REO is real estate owned by the bank, and many investors consider an REO property to be money just waiting to happen. An REO is different from a foreclosure property in that the bank has already tried to sell it at a foreclosure auction and has had no luck getting bids. Because the property was not bid on, the bank then became the owner of the property. Naturally, the bank does not want to keep the REO any longer than possible, and this makes it a great opportunity for an investor. Not every REO is a good deal, but when you look at an REO you’ll commonly find that there is a lot of money to be made.

So, is this a foreclosure?

Technically speaking, the home was foreclosed on because the owner of the home failed to make their scheduled payments. The bank set up and went through a public auction, but there was not any bids placed on the home, so the bank ended up owing the property. Yes, the home was foreclosed on, but it is well past the foreclosure process and the bank will be anxious to get rid of the property.

Advantages of REO vs. Foreclosed Property

When you are thinking of buying an REO you have to distinct advantages that a buyer does not have with a foreclosed property. The first is that you are able to buy on your schedule, as you do not have an auction date to work with and around. You can make an offer of the home any time; you don’t have to wait for bidding to begin. Another big advantage of an REO compared to a foreclosed property is that you can inspect it before you buy, when you cannot do this with the majority of foreclosed homes that you think about purchasing. Being able to inspect the property before you buy will let you know how big of a project you will be dealing with.

Best types of REO to purchase

You might not think the type of loan the home was purchased with the first time around matters but it does. You should attempt to purchase REO’s that had a conventional loan the first time around, as you will likely get much better deals with these than you will if you look at FHA and VA loans. The federal government backs FHA and VA loans, and the government can actually buy them back if they are so inclined. Homes that had conventional loans the first time are often purchased for just a fraction of their value, meaning that they can make an investor a lot more money.

Which REO’s you should not purchase

Just because the bank owns a property does not make it a good deal. In fact, when you see that a home or property is an REO you have to wonder exactly what IS wrong with it. The house was not bid on because no one saw the worth in it. Did the home just not have enough equity? Were their IRS liens against it? Was the property just too badly damaged? You need to ask these questions. If the bank cannot answer the questions then you need to be even more skeptical. Take advantage of your right to inspect the REO so that you can see with your own eyes what may or may not be wrong, hire professionals if necessary as well.

One must also be sure that if they are purchasing an REO to fix it up and sell it, that the property is located in a desirable part of town. If the home is not located in a desirable part of town, you should really think about how wise of an investment the property may be. Perhaps location is why the property was not bid on at auction. There are three big things to consider when dealing with any type of real estate and those are location, location, location. Never let a seemingly good deal let you lose sight of how important location is for any piece of real estate that you intend to sell.

Why the bank will sell an REO cheap

Basically, a bank is not set up to deal with real estate. Sure, they give loans to people, but really, they are not equipped to buy and sell real estate. Because banks are not accustomed to dealing with real estate, it often takes them awhile to get the ball rolling so that they can repair the property, and get an agent to sell the property. What this means is that while the bank attempts to get their business together they are losing money hand over fist and the federal government often penalizes them for each and every REO that they acquire.

Because the bank is loosing so much money on each REO, they are willing to sell it fast and cheap. In fact, banks commonly sell an REO property for around 30% of its value just to be done with it. Sure, they end up losing money on the deal, but they end up losing less if they sell cheap now than they would if they kept the property for another six months while they try to pull everything together so that they can sell the property.

The great thing about working with the bank with an REO is that you aren’t buying site unseen. Because you can walk through the house and make all the inspections that you want, you can deal with them in a way that will give you the best deal, and the bank will typically be happy with any serious offer because it will get the house off of their hand and they will stop losing money.

Generally REOs are a great investment as long as you know what you are getting into. The bank simply wants to get rid of these homes, and if you find the right property and are ready to make the serious investment, it can be a great way to get off and running in the real estate business.

Foreclosure Scams: How to Avoid Them

December 24th, 2008

Are you a homeowner who is facing foreclosure? If you are, you may literally be desperate. You may try anything to save your home. Of course, you are urged to do so, but it is important to not let desperation get in the way. Homeowners who do often find themselves the victims of a foreclosure scam.

When it comes to foreclosure scams, the best way to protect yourself is to know what to look for. Although foreclosure scams come in a number of different formats, many are easy to spot.

One type of scam that you will be on the lookout for is when an individual or a company approaches you offering to help. When doing so, they will offer to provide you with a loan. The only problem is that a loan is not what you may be getting. The documents you sign may actually turn over ownership to the individual or company in question. However, you often end up agreeing to rent the property at a very high rate. When you cannot afford to make those payments, you will be evicted from a home that you no longer own.

Another foreclosure scam involves having an individual or company coming to your rescue. They will offer to negotiate with your lender for you. During this period, you are asked to pay the individual or company in question, which may be referred to as a rescuer. The only problem is that individual or company isn’t in contact with your mortgage lender at all. What they are doing is pocketing your money and you will still end up facing foreclosure.

Similar to the foreclosure scam listed above is one that involves strong-arming your home from you. In this aspect, the individual or company in question isn’t necessarily after your money, but more your property. They will instruct you not to contact anyone for help, aside from them. You are instructed not to speak with a lawyer, not to talk to or make payments to your mortgage company, and so forth. Right before the foreclosure proceedings start, the scammer will then take every step possible to get your home.

One mistake that you will not want to make, concerning foreclosure scams is believing that the individual in front of you is different. Desperation and despair can cloud one’s judgment. If you are presented with a contract or legal document to sign, do not do so until you can have it reviewed by an attorney. Be sure to choose your own attorney. Do not rely on the advice of an attorney suggested to you, as they may be in on the scam, if they are even a real attorney to begin with.

The three above mentioned foreclosure scams are just a few that you may run into, but they do have the potential to cause the most damage and the most heartbreak. The good news is you now know what to look for. This means you can avoid falling victim to these types of scams. As a word to the wise, never agree to do business with someone who approaches you. A reputable lawyer or housing advisor will wait for you to come to them. No one who comes knocking on your doorstep is likely to have your best interests at heart.

As a recap, foreclosure scams are out there. Typically, the only way for you to legally avoid foreclosure to speak with an attorney or to make arrangements with your financial lender.

When is the Right Time to buy your First Home?

December 23rd, 2008

There are many market predictions, however if you want to buy your first home—there is no wrong time.  The motivation to buy is not determined by regional market conditions or by location.  Industry opinions and investor speculation can not predict when a particular individual will be ready to buy.  For the great majority of folks, the most compelling reasons to buy a home are based on individual circumstances and personal needs.

  • Family needs and desires for children/parents/in-laws/couples
  • Convenience to home, work, school, social activities
  • Sense of achievement or fulfillment
  • Freedom and independence

Even though there are many changes in the market, both up and down—people still need and want to buy homes.  This desire to buy a home is deeply rooted in the fabric of our consciousness.  The value of homeownership gives far more satisfaction than ROI calculators can quantify.

Today, there are many different loan programs with flexible terms to fit all buyers. There are city and county down-payment assistance programs to assist in buying a home.   For future buyers with blemished credit, there are debt reduction and counseling programs to help gain a fresh start.

How do you make the leap to become a homeowner?  First, determine that you want to buy a home.  Get your finances in order.  Determine your financial situation and check your credit to determine where you fall as a borrower.  Look at all of your available assets for your down payment and examine all of the finance options available to you.  If you have some credit blemishes, take the time to make timely payments to your creditors to present the best financial picture.  Make sure that you have a track record of stability in your employment history.  Postpone any major purchases.  Your actual home purchase may still be 12-18 months down the road, but you can still prepare for it now.

Get pre-approved for your mortgage.  Once you’ve cleared the financial hurdles, talk to your lender or broker to find out how much you can afford to borrow along with the expected out-of-pocket costs you will need to incur for the closing.  This will include the required down payment along with funds for closing costs.  If you are buying in a seller’s market, you may want to search for homes below your approved price range, so that you can have the most room for negotiation.

Find a credible licensed real estate agent.  Look for an agent that can work with you based on YOUR needs and your schedule.  Check references of previous clients.  You may not know exactly what you want in terms of a new home, and your agent should work with you to determine your needs and help you find a property that meets your immediate and future needs.  Check with family and friends for successful agent referrals. Ask them how satisfied they were with his/her services and if they would use them again.

Become an informed and practical buyer.   Once you determine where you would like to live, determine what factors are most important for your family.  Calculate your new commute time and research school information for your children.   Make sure to evaluate the surrounding factors that are most important to you, along with factors that are least important.

Find a home that works for you.  Envision yourself (along with your family living in the home).  What are the key points of consideration for your home?  If you spend a lot of time in the kitchen, then you want to make sure that the kitchen can accommodate your habits. If you will be working from home, make sure that your home office setup will work.  Make sure that all of your telecommunications and electrical needs can be met.

Make the offer.  Once you have located a property that meets your needs, make an offer based on the listing price, along with comparables information and market considerations.  Your agent can work with you to determine the best price, along with any contingencies for the sale.

It is good to get a home inspection, so that you can know what the potential pitfalls and future maintenance needs may be.   In a seller’s market, you may find yourself bidding with several other buyers for a single piece of property.  Work with your agent to determine what is customary in your area.  This is when negotiation skills really come in handy!

Once your offer has been accepted, you will enter an escrow period, where all of the title research will be handled, funding requirements met; tax and title transfer paperwork managed.  Prior to the close of escrow, you will sign all of your finance paperwork, and pay your remaining deposit and closing fees.  After funding is complete, the title company will record the new purchase deed with the County Recorder’s office, and you will officially “close”.

Congratulations! It’s time to move. Make sure to connect your new utilities along with mail forwarding. The purchase of a home can be a lifelong achievement, but one that is truly a worthy accomplishment.

State of the World Economy

April 10th, 2008

Members, with inflation running rapid worldwide and with the new emerging middle class especially out of China we are seeing demand for all food increase and as predicted we are starting to see social unrest as a result. I have stated my concerns on past economy calls that the emergence of a large new Middle Class would put demands on Mother Earth that she may not be able to fulfill. I am predicting many more problems to happen in the future. Here is what has happened only in the last few weeks.

Governments all over the world are restricting food exports as food prices in their domestic economies are rising. Saudi Arabia cut import taxes on most foods as they are more concerned about feeding their people than protecting the domestic farmer from more competitive foreign imports. India has banned exports of all rice due to domestic shortage concerns and Vietnam has substantially cut back its rice exports.

Not only is worldwide demand for food increasing at never before seen rates but supply is becoming more limited. There remains ridiculous policies regarding using agricultural land for massive corn crops for ethanol that requires more energy to make than the energy it produces. The industry has heavy gov’t funding and strong lobby groups and therefore it is unlikely this foolish experiment will be stopped and certain persons are making too much money. But we are now seeing the consequences that are only going to get worse as more agricultural land is used for production of bio fuels.

Another problem on the supply side is agricultural land in China has decreased by over 25% in the last 20 years due to lack of available clean water and turning agricultural land into development land.

On the news last night I saw the India trade minister being interviewed and he said food shortages were becoming the most pressing trade issue. He said that world food stocks have never been lower. I spoke to a close personal friend last night in Manila and we were discussing the world food situation and he told me that in the Philippines government investigators this week raided warehouses suspected of hoarding rice.

I am following closely and will keep you updated in the coming months.

Gold:

Well members I hope you read my report just 2 weeks ago and took the action steps that I discussed. I discussed that gold was overbought and there was a high likeliness of a sell off. In fact gold has fallen 15% in the last few weeks and we continue to see short weakness for gold FIC looks at this as a normal occurrence in a market that has had a very fast runup and we are excited by the fact that many members may be able to buy gold on this sell off.

We are convinced that the trend for gold over the long term remains upward and over time we call for gold prices to be much higher. As I have announced in February and March Economy Calls the International Monetary Fund would be selling 10% of its gold reserves to raise cash. That cash has been used by Central Banks to ensure the banking industry can be given emergency reserves in the event of any concern about banking solvency. Central Bankers I believe are selling much gold to have massive cash reserves on hand to avoid another calamity like Bear Stearns. As stated the Bear Stearns collapse was the most negative financial event since the beginning of the subprime mortgage crisis.

Members, do not panic with the pull back of gold. In fact gold could pull back much lower and we will still be in secular bull market in gold prices None of the trends have changed especially the non stop printing of the US dollar which will ensure that gold prices eventually will move to much higher levels. In addition, US interest rates remain near all time lows and US treasuries are not attractive to foreign investors and eventually once again they will look to higher returns and safety by investing in gold and existing the US dollar.

On April 1st the bond spreads narrowed between government bonds and corporate bonds and we saw a very strong rally in financial stocks. Many traders liquidated their positions in gold and hopped on the financial stock one day surge. It is possible that we might see some short term strength in financial stocks however, I would be very weary about still buying any financial stocks as we still could suffer an unpleasant surprise like a Bear Stearns collapse. Noone knows for sure and the club would rather sit in cash then try to play any short term rallies in the high risk financial sector.

US Dollar:

Nothing has changed fundamentally with the US dollar. However, the dollar has had such a strong sell off that what is occurring right now with the short term rally of the US dollar is what I refer to as a suckers rally. The Federal Reserve with its low interest rate policy continues to flood the market with cheap paper to pay for the war in Iraq, to pay for social services and most recently to create enough liquidity in the marketplace to ensure that banks continue to lend.

The long term outlook for the US dollar remains very Bearish and both the Republics and Democrats strategies only focus on more outlandish budgets and spending that the country cannot afford. I am absolutely convinced that there is absolutely no way with US demographics of an aging population of baby boomers and a medical program that outpaces inflation by a factor of two times that the next generation of Americans will suffer a dramatic decline in life-style.

It is the politicians desire to be reelected. The most popular way to get reelected is to announce new spending programs and make promises to the voters. The problems is that if America was to keep all its spending promises by 2040 the debt will be so large that the USA will only be able even to service the interest payments on the debt. That means that not only is there no new programs but existing programs cannot be afforded. In other words there will be no social benefits at all. I am not overdramatizing the situation. It is the fact that US spending is out of control to the amount of almost $2 billion per day more in spending than tax revenue.

No US political party has policies to stop the spending spree. America is a society where I see over time the elimination of the Middle Class who kept all their assets and money in US dollars. Make sure as an American member that you see more opportunities for investments outside of the USA to ensure you are not caught in this inevitable occurrence.

I want to urge you for your own good to attend Investfest 2008 June 6-9 in Vancouver. We have many cashflow and investment opportunities . The event is June 6-9 in Vancouver. The event last from 9am to at least 10pm daily and we have top educators from all over the planet. More than 90% of last year’s attendees are returning.

If you would like more information about the event go to www.investfest2008.com. Also send an email to service@ficinvestors.com if you have any questions.

Oil:

Investors often move to gold in times of fear or uncertainty in the markets. The same phenomenon is now true for oil. When traders are concerned about the declining US dollar they buy oil futures. Recently with the rally in the US dollar oil prices have fallen 10% but still hover at the $100 mark. Oil could drop again as low as $80 in the short term but once again the long term trend for oil prices is much higher. Nothing has changed with the supply or demand fundamentals and sometimes there are other factors that influence the price of oil.

Right now financial institutions are tightening margin requirements on trading futures and this has caused a sell off in overall commodities led by oil as traders cannot leverage their trades like in the past. This also has the effect of cooling speculation and many traders have left the short term trading opportunities available in commodities futures.

Inflation:

Members the last few weeks all trends that I have spoken are working in reverse. Inflation is a great example. With the non stop printing of currencies around the world and money supply in the USA alone increasing 30% in the last 3 years we are looking at inflation that is going to take away the purchasing power of of all citizens.

But Mike when I read the inflation reports this month inflation had actually declined. But with so much money supply chasing the same amount of goods and services how can this occur? Well when we dig deeper into the inflation numbers we see that 3 of the major index measurements decreased.
1. The cost of borrowing money with lower interest rates.
2. Lower automobile prices.
3. Lower home prices.

Once again in isolated period of times we may see periods where we see inflation decreasing however, with so much new money supply being created everyday the trend remains upward for extreme inflation in the future.

The best way to make money in these current market conditions is through trading. It is rare that I have made such a statement but any short term upward movement in a stock or a market sector will be met with profit taking outweighing more buyers buying stock. Therefore, for those who trade I would be buying gold, oil and other commodities on sell offs and selling them on market upward movements. In this marketplace we are unlikely to see sustained market rallies as traders are very quick to take any profits.

I only suggest that very skilled technical market members who watch daily charts participate in the process of trading. It is a strategy where all your gains can be wiped out in minutes. For the majority of members the best strategy is to remain on the sidelines in cash in the short term or make an investment and be very patient and don’t expect large gains in the short term.

Another market indicator that is causing much concern is the spreads between corporate bonds and government bonds is at historic highs. The market is very fearful at this time and as a result investors are not buying corporate bonds. For this reason corporate bonds are priced much higher than government bonds. This is a bad indication of the overall lack of confidence in the market. At this moment the spread between government bonds and corporate bonds is about 4%. The historic average is about 2-2.5%.

I will note that the rally in the US financial sector on April 1st was for the first time in many months the positive perception that spreads between corporate bonds and government bonds narrowed. This is an indication that fear is abating and hence the reason we saw strong buying in the markets of financial stocks and bonds.

Today on April 2nd I am also seeing that insurance rates on all risks investments is decreasing. This is a positive indicator as investors are signally more confidence in all risk investments with the strongest confidence the last few trading sessions returning to the banking sector and the reason we have seen a rally.

With short term strength in financial stocks we are likely to see a shift away from commodity stocks and another reason for the short term bearish outlook on commodities. The good news is if we see a sustained rally of financial stocks this will be for the entire markets and we will see recovery in all sectors. We are a long way from this as we await many more market indicators in the coming months.

This current market is driven by bad news. In fact I have witnessed many times in recent months that a great announcement by a company is only met by selling and the stock moves up very little however, any slight bad news and stocks have had an over exaggerated sell off.

The school of thought that a slower economy will reduce demand for economies has been discussed for the last few years however, in recent weeks I have noticed it has been discussed much more within the popular media and a contributing factor to the short term sell off in commodities overall. Also the dollar has rallied the last few weeks and a higher dollar leads to lower commodity prices as commodities are mostly priced in US dollars and it takes few dollars to buy the same amount of commodities.

I remain very bullish on commodities overall for many years to come. This month I read a fascinating report by Jarod Diamond in the New York Times. He stated that there are 1 billion people in the developed world living with a relative consumption level of 32. The rest of the world’s 5.5 billion people live with a relative consumption index close to 1. That’s is right as Canadians and Americans we consume 32 more than the average person in the developed world which includes energy, food, and all other times of consumption whereas most Kenyans have a relative consumption of just 1.

Through his very complicated mathematical index calculation he measured that China’s relative consumption level is about 3. This was the point in his conclusion that fascinated me the most and my believe that we remain invested in the right areas. If no other factors change, no new population growth, no other countries increase their relative consumption rates, an increase of Chinese per capita consumption to levels in the West would increase global energy demand by 106% and that of metals by 94%. In other words , if China were to achieve relative consumption parity to the West which I believe will happen over the next 50 years then demand would double for all commodities with no population increase. The challenge is that the world population will be close to 10 billion in the next 50 years and we cannot as a human race sustain this growth and this level of consumption. In my opening tonight I discussed we are already seeing social unrest due to the extra demands on food due to the growth of an emerging Middle Class world wide demanding more and better foods.

I am confident that this run on all commodities worldwide will work as follows. Middle Class existence in the emerging nations will improve at the expense of the Middle class in the West who can no longer afford all the luxuries of the past.

The primary goal of all governments is to increase the living standards of its population. This trend which is underway will not change. Members here is where the study gets more intense. If India’s citizens were to move to Western per capita consumption levels then world consumption of things would triple and there is no way the world can sustain this type of consumption. Now if the entire world were to catch up the amount of consumption would increase by 11 times. This is the equivalent of attempting to support 72 billion humans (6.5 billion population time 11)

The difficulty for Canadians and Americas is that this formula is a zero sum proposition. In other words, what is used for consumption purposes in India and China will not be used by Americans and Canadians. No politician ever discusses life in 50 years as frankly I don’t think they care beyond getting reelected. I am very concerned in the long term for our children and especially our children’s children. Planet Earth cannot sustain this growth and one day we will require a world governing body and that will only happen when the human race is faced with mass populations dying without change. The only way such changes will occur is if it happens to Westerners. Only at the point when we cannot buy milk, bread, meat and gasoline and walk in the streets protesting worldwide will a new worldwide governing body emerge. I believe we are only 50 to 100 years away from this happening but just your reaction right now Most of you think, “I will not be here and that is the problem.”

We have seen very few sectors to make money but we have discussed carbon capture as a place that investors could make strong returns but would have to be patient. The Freedom Investment Club bought 400000 shares of HTC Pureenergy Inc at $2.09 per share. The stock is now trading above $4.80 per share. The company is in the business of Co2 capture and storage and on March 28th Prime Minister Harpur handed HTC a cheque for $240 million to help develop the world’s first and largest commercial scale carbon capture and storage demonstration project.

Geopolitics:

Other than the election in Zimbabwe it has been a quiet month geopolitically. It looks like Mugabe’s rein of bankrupting his economy and bringing misery to millions is over as despite his attempts to fix the election he has lost the vote however, still as I speak he has not conceded defeat. There are a few people that are better off never have lived on the planet it is very unfortunate for the damage that Mugabe has caused millions that at an earlier stage he was not brought out back and shot. He is a narcissist self absorbed by greed and power that took a once prosperous country and turned it into an economic basket case. To give members a sense of how bad things are if I give someone $10 US I would in return receive $400 million Zimbabwe dollars. Inflation is so bad that prices double every few days. It will be great to see the end of this tyrant. Maybe they can send Mugabe to join Chavez on a one way ticket to oblivion. These men are the saddest creation of human beings.

Today Fed Head Bernanke implied that the economic stimulus programs seem to be working and that is a signal at least in the short term that we are unlikely to see any further interest rate cuts. The Fed in previous months have loaned capital to banks that in the past would not meet loan criteria. For example, the two mortgage lenders in the USA Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have been making loans available to homebuyers in geographical areas they would not have in the past. Job growth in the US was better than expected as analysts expected a loss of 75000 jobs in the private sector but the number came out that jobs increased by 6000. The worst news since my last writing when Bear Stearns collapsed is that the large Swiss bank UBS writedowns exceeded 19 billion and they are now raising 15 billion through an offering.

US elections and statements made by candidates are not impacting the markets. This will change as we get closer to a Federal election and it becomes apparent who will become the next President of the United States.

From this time last year mortgage applications are down 28.7% and refinancings are down 38.1%. The highest number of adjustable mortgage resets have occurred in March and we will see what happens to the number of foreclosures over the next several months and determine if we see a market bottom in US housing prices.

The feedback on an upcoming fieldtrip to Chula Vista near San Diego on a previous newsletter was overwhelmingly positive with over 200 members interested to attend. The purpose of the field trip would be purely educational to examine the market as it is a great market study for what has happened in the subprime mortgage crisis. In Chula Vista residential developers dominated city council policy and the area was overbuilt with new homes very quickly. This was an area that was particularly aggressive with questionable mortgage practices and initial adjustable mortgage teaser rates. I continue to watch the carnage in the area as Executive Homes that were selling for 1.5 to 1.7 million less than 2 years ago are now selling in the 800k range and it is likely these properties could drop further. It is impossible to pick a market bottom but when market indicators are showing signs we are near a bottom due to the overwhelming interest the club is looking further into planning a field trip and possibly an investment opportunity.

Uranium:

One of the most commonly asked questions remains on uranium as many members continue to own uranium stocks. Activity on the spot market has been very quiet with the majority of demand coming from discretionary buyers. Sellers now appear willing to lower their offering prices to attract buying interest.

Despite the recent uncertainty and spot price weakness, the fundamentals for uranium long term remain strong. Internationally many governments continue to endorse nuclear fuel led by China and Russia. There is also renewed political support for nuclear expansion in the UK and Europe.
- Mike Lathigee, Freedom Investment Club

How to Speak the Secret Language of Contractors

March 5th, 2008

Often time’s people ask me how I have been able to manage between 15-25 projects at one time and not lose all my hair. Although I must admit that I have lost quite a bit of hair from the many mistakes I have made along the way, I have noticed recently that it is slowly growing back as I get better at learning how to manage my contractors more effectively and avoid these mistakes. I have spent a lot of time studying the art of rehabbing homes from some of the best in the business combined with learning from my experiences of doing over 100 deals and 64 projects just last year alone.

Now I have made it my mission to share my systems for hiring contractors and managing projects effectively with real estate investors across the country. I noticed that many investors see the huge potential of the business of rehabbing homes but dread having to deal with headaches or potential contracting nightmares. This fear prevents many investors from getting started rehabbing in the first place. I am committed to helping you overcome this fear so you can cash in is one of the most lucrative streams of income out there.

So what does it take to find these contractors, Paul?

When people see my team and I on A& E’s TV Show “Flip This House” they are able to see the amount of rapport that I maintain with my contracting teams which is a critical ingredient to becoming successful in the art of rehabbing homes to maximize profits. Let me say this, there is a lot of work behind selecting and managing a contracting team that can get your job done not only the efficient way but the most effective way which will ultimately mean the difference between success and failure on your bottom line.

One of the most common questions that viewers post to my blog www.ThanandPaul.com is this: How do you find qualified and competent contractors to complete your jobs both professionally and proficiently? The first step in good management is hiring the right contractors from day one. The key to doing this is knowing what to look for in the first place. The single most effective way to communicate to potential contractors is to learn to speak their language. The single mistake of mismanaging your contractors can make you or break you in this business. Although it may sound cliché I cannot stress enough how pivotal mastering communication on the initial estimate can be on the final outcome of your job. I have a 3 Step process that I follow that will help you become an expert communicator in Contracting 101.

Step Number 1

Do your Homework

When I got started in this business I would call four contractors and receive one bid. Many of you I am sure are lucky sometimes if you can get that and when you do it is often a bogus quote. The solution to this is first mastering the conversation with the contractor while they are bidding on the job by making it clear that you know what you are talking about. If you are unsure of costs you must do some preliminary research beforehand so that you can speak contractor language. Contractors will not respect you and often take advantage of you if do not clearly state what you need and what you expect to pay for their services.

Begin by educating yourself on what the costs of doing a job really is. You can search online, talk with local material suppliers or consult a reference manual similar to the one that I wrote which I created to solve this problem when I was training my project mangers. I have found specific manuals dictating baseline costs of materials and labor are one of the most valuable resources to use especially if you are new to this business.

Step Number 2

Lay Out a Detailed Scope of Work that Outlines Your Expectations.

Before I meet with a contractor I lay out what I call a detailed scope of work. This scope of work lays out each component of the contractor’s job that I expect to be completed within a certain timeframe in order for them to be compensated.

This holds them accountable but also shows them that I have done my due diligence and that I know what I am talking about in terms of the work expected. In addition in my initial meeting I make it clear that I have a budget and a specified timeframe to complete the work within. Then I will actually give them a deadline to meet when submitting their quote. I clearly state a period of time that I expect the job to be done in order to test their confidence in hitting the overall target date for completion.

Let me give you an example of a typical conversation that I would have on an initial estimate;

Hi, I’m Paul Esajian with CT Homes, LLC. I work with a network of investors that rehab over a 100 houses a year and I need to form new relationships with responsible contractors so that I can give them multiple projects. Is this something your interested in?

Great, I have a budget of 25k and feel confident that you can work within that number. This is a great opportunity for us to start working together and I would like you to give me a estimate for a roof at 123 East Street today if possible. The scope of work is at the house with the standard “Quote Itemization Form” complete the form and fax or drop off this quote by 5pm today. I need to get working on it right away as it needs to be completed in three weeks. Do you have the staff and the time to complete this job within that time frame?

Great, as I mentioned before I do multiple projects at once so I will require you to pull the permits, That is something that you do correct? Great, I have written up a scope of work that I expect you will need to do to complete the job but will also be open to your expert opinion in how I can get this job completed in the fastest most professional and cost effective manner.

Great, I look forward to reviewing your bid on Wednesday and if everything looks good we can begin work on Monday.

Notice that I laid the foundation for everything that I expect from this contractor before I have even met him. I do not want to waste his valuable time and I definitely do not want to waste mine. By following contracting Interview scripts like the one above, I have obtained all the answers I needed before he has come to look at the property and bid on the job. If they can meet all these requirements next I will invite them to come bid on the project.

Step Number 3

Investigate the Contractor’s Business before you go to contract.

When an estimate comes in and is near my numbers the next step in my hiring process is investigating the contractors business. I want to know how long they have been in business. If they have another business I also investigate what that is and the time and capital to run that as well to make sure they can work on my allotted timeframe. Because of previous negative experiences I no longer hire contractors that have less than 3 years experience as a rule of thumb. Next I check their business credit. I never want to have to make a payment because they have run out of funds. I go by the golden rule to stay ahead on work and behind on payments. Finally I verify their insurance and provide them with 6 critical documents that I have developed that protect my business. This gives me an opportunity to communicate both verbally and written exactly what is expected to be completed before payment can be given. I also make a payment schedule that outlines benchmark & milestones.

By following these 3 easy steps you are well on your way to building a network of competent contractors that can efficiently manage and complete multiple projects leading to huge profits in the future.

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Sellers and Buyers: Working Together during a Recession

February 13th, 2008

During a real estate recession, both sellers and buyers are looking for something special out of a transaction. Even though this is always the case, a recession brings out a new side of sellers and buyers; a side that is not seen very often due to the differing circumstances. No matter what side of the deal you are standing on, you need to know what to expect from the other side, as well as what you can do to help out your own situation.

As a seller during a recession you know that you are up against the odds. The reasons for this are simple. First off, the market is slow which means that there will not be nearly as many buyers looking for homes. To go along with this, the buyers that are in the market are expecting to save a lot of money. After all, recessions in the past have shown savings for buyers of up to five percent. And of course, every potential buyer will think that this is the kind of deal that they are going to get.

As for the buyers, they may not have as many homes to choose from because of the slowdown of the market. One area that a buyer may want to check is new home construction. During a recession, developers are more so inclined to drop the price on their new construction homes. After all, offering price drops and upgrades is the only way for them to get rid of the properties that they have built.

When it comes down to it, a real estate transaction can only be successful if sellers and buyers are willing to work together. During a recession this is even more so the case because both sides are up against difficult odds. When you get sellers and buyers who are willing to work together, the end result is a house that gets sold at a mutually agreed upon price. Even though this may sound a bit far fetched, it is possible to agree to terms with the other party.

Overall, it can be difficult for sellers and buyers to get on the same page during a recession. No matter if you are in the market or trying to find a buyer, you need to know your role. And from there, take the time to consider what the other party is going through. This will help you to make a deal in the end.

What to expect when Selling during a Recession

February 7th, 2008

When selling real estate during a recession there are some things that you should expect. Even if these details do not present themselves to you, expecting them will put you in a much better position. Selling during a recession is not the same as doing so when the market is in good shape. The more that you know about this type of selling the better chance there is that you will achieve the success you are after.

One thing to expect when selling during a recession is a slow market. In other words, do not expect to have thousands of potential buyers breaking down the front door. During a recession things tend to slow down quite a bit. People will be more selective about what they are buying, while also moving forward in a cautious manner. Additionally, some buyers will simply decide to wait for the recession to past.

Another situation to expect when selling during a recession is buyers who are not willing to pay your asking price. They know that a real estate recession usually results in lowered prices, and for this reason they use it when shopping. The good thing is that as the seller you are in charge of the entire situation. If you feel that lowering your price will not affect you too much, you should go ahead and do so. But remember, never make a rash decision. Some sellers drop their price right away just to make a sale, and find out in the end that they did not have to do this. Consider every move that you make if you decide that you are going to sell your home during a recession.

Overall, there is a lot that goes into selling during a recession. You not only need to know about your home, but staying up to date on market news is also very important. On top of all this, you then have to deal with potential buyers. Do yourself a favor and stay patient no matter when you are selling your home. This will help you to get the best deal, and will definitely work in your favor during a recession. And as a seller, you want to have as many benefits on your side as possible.

What Buying during a Recession should mean to you

January 31st, 2008

When buying during a recession there is a lot that you need to know. If you think that this state of the real estate market is the same as any other time, you are far from right. The fact of the matter is that when you are dealing in a recession there are some changes that you need to make to the way that you are doing things. This is not to say that you have to totally change your direction, but you should consider what you can do to better your situation.

The nice thing about buying during a recession is that you should be able to save a lot of money. In many markets, a recession means that real estate prices will be down anywhere from three to five percent. As you can imagine, this will differ greatly based on where you are shopping for a new home. But no matter where you are located, it is safe to say that buying during a recession will offer you the ability to save money.

Another thing to consider when buying during a recession is that there may not be as many homes on the market. Remember, sellers know that they are not going to get as much money during a recession. For this reason, they often times wait around in order to put their home on the market. Additionally, the homes that are for sale usually go quick because they are priced to sell. If you are going to shop for a home during a recession you better be prepared to make a purchase without waiting around too long.

There is nothing wrong with buying a home when the real estate market is going through a recession. In fact, you may find that this is the right thing to do because you can save money. But remember, this is a unique situation that you will be in. You need to be aware of what you should pay for a home in a given area, and of course, you should be ready to buy. If you know what a recession brings to your market, you should have no problems buying during this time.